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Open-weight model · Time series forecasting

chronos-bolt-tiny

by Amazon amazon/chronos-bolt-tiny

Update Feb 14, 2025: Chronos-Bolt models are now available on Amazon SageMaker JumpStart! Check out the tutorial notebook to learn how to deploy Chronos endpoints for production use in a few lines of code.

Parameters9M
Context
Weights34.6 MB
Licenseapache-2.0
AccessOpen weights
Monthly Downloads991.9k

Runs On

What it takes to serve chronos-bolt-tiny (9M parameters): the memory its weights need at each precision, and the cheapest way to rent enough data-center GPUs to hold them.

PrecisionWeightsMemory neededCheapest setupPer hourAlso fits
16-bit 0.0 GB 0.0 GB 1x MI300X (192 GB)
Vultr
$1.85 1x H100 $1.99 · 1x MI325X $2.00
8-bit 0.0 GB 0.0 GB 1x MI300X (192 GB)
Vultr
$1.85 1x H100 $1.99 · 1x MI325X $2.00
4-bit 0.0 GB 0.0 GB 1x MI300X (192 GB)
Vultr
$1.85 1x H100 $1.99 · 1x MI325X $2.00

Memory is the weights at that precision plus 20% for the runtime and a short context; a long context needs more. Prices are the lowest on-demand hourly rates in the SAVRN Index, read Sep 18, 2026.

SAVRN's Notes on chronos-bolt-tiny

Thirty-five megabytes on disk, nine million parameters, and our memory table rounds it to 0.0 GB. It cuts a numeric history into patches, runs them through a T5 encoder-decoder trained on nearly 100 billion time series observations, and forecasts with no fine-tuning. The cheapest listed host, one MI300X with 192 GB at $1.85 per hour on-demand, is beside the point: this runs on the box collecting the data. Load curves, cooling demand, queue depth are what Amazon's tiny forecaster was built for.

Apache 2.0 puts the forecasts and any derivative in commercial use, with notices kept. No context length is on file, so check how much history the chronos-forecasting library feeds it, and with no reported evaluations, backtest on your own series before it touches a control loop. Released November 25, 2024 and updated November 21, 2025, so pin the version. The SAVRN Index lists no host prices for it.

Model Card

By Amazon, published under apache-2.0, revision a0e552de8349.

Update Feb 14, 2025: Chronos-Bolt models are now available on Amazon SageMaker JumpStart! Check out the tutorial notebook to learn how to deploy Chronos endpoints for production use in a few lines of code.

Chronos-Bolt is a family of pretrained time series forecasting models which can be used for zero-shot forecasting. It is based on the T5 encoder-decoder architecture and has been trained on nearly 100 billion time series observations. It chunks the historical time series context into patches of multiple observations, which are then input into the encoder. The decoder then uses these representations to directly generate quantile forecasts across multiple future steps—a method known as direct multi-step forecasting. Chronos-Bolt models are up to 250 times faster and 20 times more memory-efficient than the original Chronos models of the same size.

Performance

Read the full model card (835 words)

Configuration

Architecture
ChronosBoltModelForForecasting
Vocabulary size
2
Stored precision
float32
Model type
t5

Identity and Version

Repository
amazon/chronos-bolt-tiny
Publisher
Amazon
Task
Time series forecasting
Modality
Time series
Library
chronos-forecasting
Parameters
9M parameters
Languages
Not stated by the source
Revision
a0e552de83495b5c28c14c71c374f3e33280b340
First published
2024-11-25
Last updated
2025-11-21

Files and Weights

4 files, 34.6 MB in total. The weights are 1 file totalling 34.6 MB in safetensors.

Weights1 file · 34.6 MB
Configuration1 file · 1.1 KB
Documentation1 file · 8.7 KB
Repository1 file · 1.5 KB
Every file
FileTypeSizeSHA-256
model.safetensorsWeights34.6 MB 75068728d376
config.jsonConfiguration1.1 KB
README.mdDocumentation8.7 KB
.gitattributesRepository1.5 KB

License and Download

License
apache-2.0
Access
Open weights, no gate
Download size
34.6 MB
Download from Amazon

Released by Amazon through its official repository on Hugging Face. Read the license.

Built From

Memory Requirements

PrecisionWeights in memory
As published34.6 MB
16-bit0.0 GB
8-bit0.0 GB
4-bit0.0 GB

Weights only, from the published parameter count; the key-value cache and runtime add to this.

Questions About chronos-bolt-tiny

How much GPU memory does chronos-bolt-tiny need?

About 0 GB at 16-bit and 0 GB at 4-bit: the weights (9M parameters) plus a working margin. A long context needs more.

What is the cheapest GPU to run chronos-bolt-tiny on?

At 16-bit, 1x MI300X from $1.85 an hour; at 4-bit, 1x MI300X from $1.85 an hour, at the lowest on-demand prices the SAVRN Index lists.

Can I use chronos-bolt-tiny commercially?

Yes. chronos-bolt-tiny is released under Apache License 2.0. The Apache License 2.0 is a permissive open-source license. It permits commercial use, modification and redistribution. It requires keeping the license and copyright notices and any NOTICE file, stating significant changes, and it includes an express patent grant from contributors.

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