moirai-1.0-R-small

Model · Time series forecasting

moirai-1.1-R-small

Salesforce AI Research

This is new updated version of Moirai-1.0-R (https://huggingface.co/Salesforce/moirai-1.0-R-base). The Moirai-1.1-R model achieved significant improvements (~20%) for low-frequency cases like Yearly and Quarterly data in Normalised Mean Absolute Error (NMAE) for 40 datasets on the Monash repository. This release is for research purposes only in support of an academic paper. Our models, datasets, and code are not specifically designed or evaluated for all downstream purposes. We strongly recommend users evaluate and address potential concerns related to accuracy, safety, and fairness before deploying this model. We encourage users to consider the common limitations of AI, comply with…

Model · Time series forecasting

moirai-2.0-R-small

Salesforce AI Research

Moirai 2.0 is a decoder-only universal time series forecasting transformer model pre-trained on: - Subset of GIFT-Eval Pretrain, and Train datasets (Non-leaking historical context). - Mixup data generated from non-leaking subsets of Chronos Dataset. - Synthetic time series produced via KernelSynth introduced in Chronos paper. - Internal Salesforce operational data. We make significant improvements over the first version of Moirai (please refer to the paper for previous version): - Switched from a distributional loss to a quantile loss formulation. - Moved from single-token to multi-token prediction, improving efficiency and stability. - Added a data filtering mechanism to filter out…

Model · Time series forecasting

flowstate

IBM Research

FlowState is the first time-scale adjustable Time Series Foundation Model (TSFM), open-sourced by IBM Research. Combining an State Space Model (SSM) Encoder with a Functional Basis Decoder allows FlowState to transition into a timescale invariant coefficient space and make a continuous forecast from this space. This allows FlowState to seamlessly adjust to all possible sampling rates. Therefore, training in one time-scale helps for inference at all scales, allowing for drastically improved utilization of training data across time-scales. This innovation leads to a significant improvement in performance, making FlowState the new state-of-the art in zero-shot time series forecasting.…

Model · Time series forecasting

granite-timeseries-flowstate-r1

IBM Granite

FlowState is the first time-scale adjustable Time Series Foundation Model (TSFM), open-sourced by IBM Research. Combining a State Space Model (SSM) Encoder with a Functional Basis Decoder allows FlowState to transition into a timescale invariant coefficient space and make a continuous forecast from this space. This allows FlowState to seamlessly adjust to all possible sampling rates. Therefore, training in one time-scale helps for inference at all scales, allowing for drastically improved utilization of training data across time-scales. This innovation leads to a significant improvement in performance, making FlowState the new state-of-the art in zero-shot time series forecasting.…

Model · Time series forecasting

chronos-bolt-tiny

Autogluon

Update Feb 14, 2025: Chronos-Bolt models are now available on Amazon SageMaker JumpStart! Check out the tutorial notebook to learn how to deploy Chronos endpoints for production use in a few lines of code. Chronos-Bolt is a family of pretrained time series forecasting models which can be used for zero-shot forecasting. It is based on the T5 encoder-decoder architecture and has been trained on nearly 100 billion time series observations. It chunks the historical time series context into patches of multiple observations, which are then input into the encoder. The decoder then uses these representations to directly generate quantile forecasts across multiple future steps—a method known as…

Model · Time series forecasting

chronos-bolt-tiny

Amazon

Update Feb 14, 2025: Chronos-Bolt models are now available on Amazon SageMaker JumpStart! Check out the tutorial notebook to learn how to deploy Chronos endpoints for production use in a few lines of code. Chronos-Bolt is a family of pretrained time series forecasting models which can be used for zero-shot forecasting. It is based on the T5 encoder-decoder architecture and has been trained on nearly 100 billion time series observations. It chunks the historical time series context into patches of multiple observations, which are then input into the encoder. The decoder then uses these representations to directly generate quantile forecasts across multiple future steps—a method known as…